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Iraq War
US 'surge' - Another failure

Cllr. Mick Barry

The top US military commander in Iraq, General David Petraeus, reported in September that George W. Bush’s military “surge” is working and called for US troop levels in Iraq, currently at 162,000, to be kept above 130,000 for another year.

“I…believe that it is possible to achieve our objectives in Iraq over time, although doing so will be neither quick nor easy”, he said. Armed with the Petraeus report, Bush is now asking Congress for an additional $200 billion to prosecute the war.

Petraeus and Bush are attempting to deny reality when they claim that US Imperialism can achieve victory in Iraq  -  the reality on the ground is that their surge has failed and defeat is not a matter of if but when. The failure of the surge is illustrated by the fact that the Iraqi Red Crescent Organisation claims that the number of internally displaced persons has jumped from 500,000 to 1.1m since the surge began in February.

The UN-run International Organisation for Migration says the numbers fleeing fighting in Baghdad  -  one of the two centres for the new US troops  -  grew by a factor of 20 in the same period.

A survey for the BBC shows that about 70% of Iraqis believe security to have deteriorated in the area covered by the surge.  Between 67 and 70% believe the surge has hampered conditions for political dialogue, reconstruction and economic development.

Petraeus highlighted US military claims to now control 50% of Baghdad compared to 8% in January and lay great emphasis on Sunni tribal leaders in Anbar province turning against Al Qaeda and working with the US military.  However, a greater pointer to future events are the facts that the numbers of Iraqi people wanting US forces to leave immediately has risen since the surge’s start and nearly 60% now see attacks on US-led forces as justified.

The recent British Army withdrawal from Basra was an important indication of imperialism’s real position in Iraq. Attempts by the Brown administration to paint the troop withdrawal as following on from a “job well done” were hollow propaganda.

The real position was indicated by Reidar Wisser, a leading academic specialist on Basra and Southern Iraq, who said: “As early as 2004, British influence was in steep decline.  The recent pullout was a largely symbolic affair: the British ceased exercising effective control in Basra a long time ago.” “Effective control” is now in the hands of various Shia militias, all to a greater or lesser extent opposed to the US occupation.

The August US National Intelligence Estimate, representing the consensus opinion of 16 major US intelligence agencies paints a far more sober picture than that painted by Petraeus: “The level of overall violence, including attacks on and casualties among civilians, remains high; Iraq’s sectarian groups remain unreconciled; (Al Qaeda in Iraq) retains the ability to conduct high-profile attacks; and to date Iraqi leaders remain unable to govern effectively.”

Bush’s plan to “stay the course” will make Iraq a major, probably the major, issue in the US Presidential election next year.  Already, three out of four people in the US support a total or partial withdrawal of troops.

The Democratic Party will try to partially reflect the American people’s growing anti-war sentiment and corner the anti-war vote next year.  The Democrats, however, currently control Congress and could end the war by voting to cut off funding  for it.  They have consistently refused to do so.  The Democrats are a big business party who want to organise an orderly retreat for US imperialism, not an antiwar party that are prepared to stand up to it.

The Socialist Party stands for the immediate withdrawal of US troops from Iraq and a stepping up of the antiwar movement in the US.  Preparations should be made to stand antiwar candidates against both Republicans and Democrats following the example of Cindy Sheehan who is running against Democrat Speaker of the House of Representatives, Nancy Pelosi, in California.

We also stand for the re-emergence of working class forces in Iraq that can cut across sectarian divisions and unite ordinary people against violent attacks, economic exploitation and occupation.  The struggle for a democratic, secular and socialist Iraq is the only alternative to occupation or bloody sectarian division.

The Petraeus Report
Don't believe the hype!

Stephen Rigney

Had General David Petraeus, US Military Commander in Iraq, lived in the Middle Ages, he would no doubt have rode a horse and worn shining armour, at least in the eyes of the Bush regime, if his high-profile report to the US Congress is to be believed.  Commissioned to report on the effectiveness of the “Surge” operation this year and the current situation in Iraq, Gen. Petraeus speaks a lot of rhetoric but not much about reality.

As predicted, his report argued that the additional 30,000 troops sent to Iraq by Bush, has played a decisive role in increasing stability in the country, citing a decrease in terrorist attacks and a drop in the number of civilian casualities since the beginning of the year.  The sucess of the “Surge” campaign has been enough that “the United States will be in a position to reduce its forces in Iraq in the months ahead”. 

Yet, you have to wonder where the General gets his figures from, with both the Iraqi Interior Ministry's civilian death toll of 428 and Associated Press' figures of 1,809 greatly contradicting official US figures of 165 deaths.

Petraeus' testimony will come as a great surprise to the vast majority of Iraqis who have to deal with the day-to-day realities of what the war has unleashed since 2003, the destruction of homes, infrastructure and lives by the US military on one hand and increasing sectarianism on the other.
Those lucky enough to avoid being one of the 60,000 new refugees per month would have had their television coverage of Petraeus' report cut short by the constant electricity blackouts, with some cities lucky to have an hour of electricity per day.

In a country with the second largest oil reserves , households are currently only receiving 43% of their necessary fuel supply. And for the five million Iraqis living on food rations, fuel is becoming less of a concern as two million of them no longer receive any food that they could cook.

Sectarian tensions are on the rise, even if the number of attacks has dropped, as areas become more and more polarised, as minorities are forced out of their homes, joining the ranks of the refugees.

This is the real face of the “stability” that Petraeus talks about.  As a result, it's no surprise that in recent polls, 79% of Sunnis and 59% of Shias have said they have no confidence in the UK and US forces to bring stability to the region.  They are daily facing the realities of what the continued occupation and exploitation of Iraq by US capitalism means for them, increased poverty and misery, while the oil multinationals and the arms companies profit at their expense.  The despair caused by these conditions is increasing support for the insurgency and opposition to the US presence.

At home, the Democrats have been trying to score political points off the Petraeus report, hoping to gain the support of the growing anti-war movement in the 2008 elections. They are fundamentally no different to the Republican party and have already exposed themselves, breaking their pre-election promises to end the war and in fact, have already voted for increased budget expenditure for the war.

The solution to the crisis in Iraq cannot be resolved by capitalism, who's single minded search for profit comes at the expense of the masses of ordinary workers and young people.  Nor do the sectarian militias and clerics offer a solution.  The exploitation of Iraq can only be ended on a socialist basis, through unity of all ordinary Iraqi workers and the nationalisation and democratic control of the vast wealth and resources of their country for their own benefit and not the mulitnationals.